Urgent Action called for as Unprecedented Rainfall Threatens Vulnerable Northern Kenya Counties
Nairobi – Mohamed Abdinoor, a Humanitarian and International Development Advisor has warned of imminent and unusually heavy rainfall expected to affect many parts of arid and semi-arid lands (ASALS).
Abdinoor highlighted the impending threat posed by predicted heavy rains in October, particularly for areas like the North Eastern Counties, which have a history of severe El Niño episodes and other climate-related emergencies.
The Kenya Meteorological Department has warned of heavy downpours from the months of October to December 2023 across various parts of the country as a result of the El Nino climate phenomenon.
According to the weatherman Northeastern counties including Wajir and Mandera are to receive the highest rainfall above average.
Mr. Abdinoor made the remarks on Thursday at the end of the Africa Climate Summit event that brought together experts, policymakers, and stakeholders from across the continent.
He underscored the need for proactive measures to mitigate the potential adverse effects of the expected heavy rainfall, emphasizing that lessons from past emergencies must inform the response to protect lives, livelihoods, and critical infrastructure.
Historical Context and Vulnerabilities
The North Eastern Counties of Kenya have endured severe climatic challenges in the past, notably during El Niño events in 1997 and 2006, which caused widespread devastation.
“Additionally, these counties faced the impact of El Niño in 2015, further underscoring their vulnerability to extreme weather patterns,” he said.
North Eastern counties of Garissa, Wajir, Mandera, Marsabit and Isiolo have experienced recurring droughts and other climate-related emergencies, making them acutely susceptible to the multifaceted impacts of climate change.
The region’s road network, in particular, has proven to be highly vulnerable to extreme weather events.
The heavy continuous rains are to be experienced in parts of Siaya, Kisumu, Homa Bay, Migori, Kisii, Nyamira, Baringo, Uasin Gishu, West Pokot, Elgeyo Marakwet, Nandi, Kericho, Bungoma, Kakamega, Busia, Trans Nzoia, West Pokot, Vihiga, Laikipia (Laikipia West), Nakuru and Narok Counties.
Turkana and Samburu counties are likely to receive occasional rainfall above the long-term average with poor rainfall distribution in October.
The disaster risk management team has urged people to practice water harvesting methods and vegetation cover to enhance preparedness and adequate response to the forthcoming floods.
“Early warning information, based on hard data and scientific analysis, should be the foundation of these actions to ensure their effectiveness,” said Kenya Mets.